Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.030387 0.032714 0.035041 0.037539 0.040140 0.042767 0.045616
2025-08-24 0.025688 0.029355 0.033146 0.037343 0.041844 0.046511 0.051701
2025-08-31 0.022747 0.027148 0.031810 0.037081 0.042845 0.048925 0.055794
2025-09-07 0.020562 0.025498 0.030835 0.036980 0.043806 0.051108 0.059460
2025-09-14 0.018470 0.023763 0.029602 0.036437 0.044141 0.052483 0.062129
2025-09-21 0.016678 0.022236 0.028482 0.035908 0.044388 0.053673 0.064514
2025-09-28 0.014856 0.020553 0.027080 0.034962 0.044079 0.054169 0.066057
2025-10-05 0.014216 0.020224 0.027208 0.035736 0.045694 0.056797 0.069965
2025-10-12 0.013404 0.019632 0.026981 0.036058 0.046756 0.058775 0.073118
2025-10-19 0.012391 0.018735 0.026340 0.035849 0.047165 0.059978 0.075366
2025-10-26 0.012027 0.018627 0.026635 0.036737 0.048845 0.062630 0.079263
2025-11-02 0.011345 0.018075 0.026355 0.036908 0.049658 0.064265 0.081981
2025-11-09 0.010421 0.017211 0.025712 0.036686 0.050073 0.065527 0.084385
2025-11-16 0.009585 0.016433 0.025161 0.036572 0.050627 0.066973 0.087037
2025-11-23 0.008761 0.015617 0.024518 0.036305 0.050965 0.068136 0.089336
2025-11-30 0.008074 0.014947 0.024031 0.036206 0.051482 0.069495 0.091851
2025-12-07 0.007273 0.014066 0.023227 0.035670 0.051435 0.070159 0.093530
2025-12-14 0.006543 0.013240 0.022459 0.035148 0.051378 0.070790 0.095151
2025-12-21 0.005731 0.012235 0.021402 0.034213 0.050775 0.070736 0.095935
2025-12-28 0.005544 0.012178 0.021645 0.034977 0.052307 0.073273 0.099820
2026-01-04 0.005228 0.011897 0.021559 0.035296 0.053266 0.075108 0.102861
2026-01-11 0.004773 0.011362 0.021094 0.035089 0.053543 0.076097 0.104876
2026-01-18 0.004667 0.011393 0.021434 0.035966 0.055208 0.078797 0.108964